Easy Baseball Betting Strategies
- Sports Betting Systems And Strategies
- Winning Sports Betting Strategies
- Sports Betting Strategies
- Sports Betting Strategies Proven
Bet Against the Public Baseball is one of the best games for betting against the public. By concentrating on the most disproportionate games of the day and the heaviest wagers, you can easily take. A money line bet is on a team to win the game outright (with no point spread) at an adjusted cost. The favorite will have negative odds, while the underdog will have positive odds. The difference here is in the prize or payout, depending on which topic. The terms 'over/under' are synonymous when placing wagers. Baseball is one of the best sports for betting against the public. By focusing on the most heavily bet and most lopsided games of the day, contrarian bettors can take advantage of public bias, pounce on artificially inflated numbers and place themselves on the side of the house. Remember, the house always wins.
Sports Betting Adjustment Strategy for Major League Baseball
Point spread betting is moving over the horizon with football season finished and college basketball season coming to an end after March Madness. The NBA is closing in on their 82 game season with playoffs extending till mid-June.
Major League Baseball is on the scene with spring training and a starting date in April. The adjustment from point spread to money-line, run lines and totals is a different handicapping environment.
While most bettors and fans are accustomed to seeing the point spread on the board, MLB odds are money lines, run lines and total run amount for over and under. Sports bettors use money lines rather than point spreads. Just picking the winner without the need to cover the spread is a basic money line bet with more money at risk when betting a baseball favorite. Laying -130 to -180 is a common money line bet in baseball. You can bet the money line in football and basketball under the same concept — just pick the winner. Money line juice can put a dent in your bank-roll if your on a losing streak.
Let’s look at one more example involving sports betting: You lose an $11 bet (- 11). You lose a $22 bet (- 22). You lose a $44 bet (- 77). You lose an $88 bet (- 165). You win a $176 bet and earn a $160 profit (- 5). You win an $11 bet and earn a $10 profit (+5), The drawback to sports betting is that the house takes 10% juice from the losing. With SBD’s comprehensive guide, you too can master the betting strategies used by the pros. Learn to shop for the best lines and make the most of time-tested strategies to get an edge on the public and your sportsbook.
Baseball has some betting patterns which develop over the course of a long season. There are more winning and losing streaks every month by most teams. Weekend sweeps are very common when pitching rotation is in place.
Baseball betting strategy has different angles based on dominant pitching (can be a big advantage), hot hitting line-up, relief pitching and other patterns of play that produce winning streaks from 4 to 10 games on average.
Sports Betting Systems And Strategies
A distinctive strategy revolves around the +1.5 run line on the dog and –1.5 run line on favorite. Some bettors look beyond the money line and ask themselves if a match-up is going to be a one run game or a two run plus game.
One run games occur around 30% plus or minus 2% over the course of a season. This statistic applies to every team.
A “middle run” strategy is a useful bet to cash in when taking the +1.5 runs on dog with money line on favorite. How many 5 to 4 run games or 4 to 3 run games occur on a daily games schedule. You have seen it many times when the home team is tied in the 9th inning and have the edge of batting last in bottom of inning. Tracking a team`s won/lost record with the final score will give you an indication of when a one run game is overdue. Statistically it happens every 3 out of 10 games played and can occur 3 or 4 times in a row.
A powerful adjustment to baseball betting strategy is getting profitable value with laying the run line (–1.5) at a plus money odds. Since one run games happen about 30% of the time, the other 70% is decided by 2 or more runs either way with team match-ups. The –1.5 run bet just needs to land on 2 or more runs and pays you more than you risk. Getting +120 up to +180 on average run line bets is a great value when there is no vig on the money bet.
Before betting on your team, decide the run factor with either a one run game or a two plus run game. There are many times when a top pitcher is –220 on the money line but only +110 on the run line (–1.5 ). How many times do you see the a top pitcher win a 5 to 1 run game or a 6 to 2 run game with a strong bull-pen closing out the last 3 innings. These situational match-ups occur when the opposing team is starting their 4 or 5 pitcher in rotation and your team has been scoring in bunches.
Baseball betting is a game of streaks and slumps. Pick your spot and monitor results for a profitable season.
I know how hard it is to figure out how to win consistently betting on sports. It took me over 10 years to learn how to effectively handicap games. One reason why it took me so long was because when I started there weren’t any good books, and the internet didn’t exist.
The good news is that it doesn’t have to take you as long as it did for me. In fact, I’m going to share nine simple tricks you can use to get started betting on sports on this page.
These nine tricks for sports betting aren’t always going to win, but they can help you break even while you’re learning how to handicap games.
1 – College Football Home Underdogs
This used to work well in the NFL, but the sportsbooks pretty much eliminated this trick. But you can still use it in college football. Every week of the NCAA football season you need to look at all of the home teams that are getting points.
Now, I’m not suggesting betting on all of them, but these are the first games where you want to look for value.
The first thing to do is eliminate all of them that are getting more than nine or nine and a half points. When a team is an underdog by 10 or more points there’s a chance they get blown out.
The main games I look at are the ones where the home team is getting three or three and a half points, and where the home team is getting seven or seven and a half points. Three and seven are important break points on football spreads because of field goals and touchdowns.
The next thing I look at is if one or more of the home underdogs has a good quarterback. When I find a home team getting three plus points with a good quarterback, I usually make a bet.
2 – College Sports Home Moneyline Underdogs at +200 or Lower
This works for college basketball and football teams. When a home team is an underdog on the moneyline at +200 or under, you have a chance to make money.
You’re not going to win half of these bets, but you don’t have to in order to make money. You just have to win enough of them to make a long term profit. When you bet $100 to win $200, you only have to win 35% or more of the time to make a profit.
Here’s how the numbers work. If you bet on 100 games at $100 to win $200, you get a total return of $300 every time you win. The total cost to bet 100 times is $10,000. If you win 35 of the games you get back a total of $10,500, for a profit of $500.
3 – Home Baseball Teams Martingale
One of the tricks I still use today is making moneyline bets on how teams in Major League Baseball. I bet on the home team in the first game, and if I don’t win I make a bigger bet on the home team in the second game of the series. And if the home team loses the first two games I make a bigger bet on the third game on the home team.
Winning Sports Betting Strategies
It does happen occasionally, but you can still make money using this trick. You just have to bet enough on the second and third games to cover your previous losses and have some left over for profit.
Anytime you use the Martingale system there’s some risk. So make sure your bankroll is big enough that you can afford to lose a big bet from time to time.
4 – Ride the NFL Streak
NFL teams go on winning and losing streaks all of the time. While each team is trying to win, the fact is that teams on a winning streak have a better chance to win their next game, and teams on a losing streak have a better chance to lose their next game.
Every season in the NFL you have many opportunities to bet on a team that’s streaking one way or another. This works best when two teas on opposite streaks meet in a game. When one team is on a winning streak and the other is on a losing streak, it’s a prime game for a bet.
5 – NBA Back to Back Opponents
Take a look at the NBA schedule and you’re going to see when teams have to play on back to back days. NBA teams tend to perform worse on the second day when they have to play back to back. This isn’t big news to NBA fans, so why am I including it here?
And if the fresh team is playing at home they have an even better chance to win.
You need to look at every game on the NBA schedule that fits these criteria. It’s one of the fastest ways to find good betting opportunities.
6 – Hockey Puck Line Strategy
This works for both hockey puck lines and baseball run lines, but I wanted to offer you at least one section about each of the major sports. On the puck line, one team gets one and a half goals. This is a big advantage in hockey, because many games are decided by one goal, including all of the games that go into overtime.
I look at every home team that’s getting goals on the puck line. You have to consider the cost of placing these bets, because you pay a higher price when you get goals, but many of these games still provide long term value.
You can come close to breaking even by betting every hockey game where the home team gets goals, but if you do just a little bit of work evaluating these games deeper, you can find the ones that offer the best profits and skip the rest.
7 – College Basketball Mismatches
I usually don’t recommend betting on the big favorite on the moneyline because you have to pay so much to make the bet. But college basketball is one place where I still use this trick.
Like most of the tricks on this list, I look for college basketball teams playing at home that are big favorites. Almost every time a heavy favorite gets upset in NCAA basketball, the favorite is playing on the road.
Just to be clear, this is a moneyline bet, not a point spread bet. I avoid point spread bets on college basketball teams that are heavily favored.
8 – Just Take the Points
If you simply don’t know anything about evaluating games and finding value, just take the points on a game and see what happens. When you get points you can win two ways. If your team is able to win the game you win, and if they keep the score under the points you get you win.
The only other thing you need to do is lean toward taking points on home teams. I know I’ve hammered the home team point in this article, but it’s really important.
Look at all of the games on the schedule, find a home team that’s getting points, and make a small wager. Don’t bet on all of these games; just start with one and see what you can learn.
9 – Line Shopping Paradise
One of the best things the internet has done for sports bettors is making it easy to shop and compare lines on games. This is true for every sport, and it can give you an edge.
Sports Betting Strategies
Look at the lines at several different sportsbooks before you place any bet on a sporting event. Sometimes you can even find two lines that have a gap in the middle that makes it worth betting on both sides.
Sports Betting Strategies Proven
And even if you don’t find a middle opportunity, if you find a line that’s a half point better for you it can make a difference.
Conclusion
You can start using the nine sports betting tricks listed on this page today, even if you’ve never placed a bet in your life. When you use the tips on this page you’re going to have a better chance to win than most sports bettors.
And these strategies are going to help you make bets somewhere around break even while you learn what you need to know to evaluate games so you can start winning consistently. Start using these simple tricks for sports betting today.