Relegation Odds Premier League 2018 19
The top of the Premier League table unsurprisingly captures the attention of most fans throughout the world, but the small matter of relegation is just as important for many clubs, particularly given the huge sums of money at stake. It looks set to be another nervy campaign for several sides, with some established Premier League teams aiming to avoid the unfortunate fate as the newly-promoted clubs try and take their places in the division.
The 2018–19 Premier League was the 27th season of the Premier League, the top English professional league for association football clubs, since its establishment in 1992. The season started on 10 August 2018 and concluded on 12 May 2019. Fixtures for the 2018–19 season were announced on 14 June 2018. The league was contested by the top 17 teams from the 2017–18 season as well as. Which Premier League team are favourite to be relegated? The favourite team to be relegated from the Premier League this season is Sheffield United, currently at the odds of 1/33.
We take a look at which sides could be involved in a relegation scrap this season and their latest odds to go down, as well as predicting who will suffer the dreaded drop.
Other Premier League Outrights. Top 4 Finish View all odds; Relegation Treble View all odds; Top 10 Finish View all odds; Winner/Top Goalscorer Double View all odds; To Stay Up View all odds; Top 5 Finish View all odds; To Finish Bottom View all odds; Top 2 Finish View all odds; Top 3 Finish View all odds; Top 6 Finish View all odds; To Finish in Bottom Half View all odds; w/o Big 6 View all odds.
Relegation odds are courtesy of William Hill – correct at the time of publishing but are subject to change.
For the latest relegation odds in some of the top football leagues in Europe, along with expert predictions, read on through the information below!
EPL & Other Leagues Top Relegation tips and predictions –
As many of the top leagues around the world are entering their latter stages, we figured it’s about time that punters had direct access to some hot markets for relegation battles. We’ve done the research, looked at the formbook, and come up with our top tips for what teams will be relegated at the close of the season. Just check out the table right here for details.
- Premier League relegation: Fulham @ 1.85 / 5/6
- Championship relegation: Rotherham United @ 2.50 / 6/4
- Bundesliga relegation: Hertha Berlin @ 8.50 / 15/2
While these odds are accurate at the tip of writing, note that they are likely to shift around by the time you come to place your bets. On that note, let us quickly explain these tips before we continue further.
Contents
Fulham Relegation Odds
While the obvious choice for the Premier League would be to go for a Sheffield United relegation, the odds for this market don’t provide real value. This is why we are going for Fulham, along with the fact that they are currently towards the bottom and showing poor form!
Rotherham United Relegation Odds
Having lost their last 4, and having lost the second-highest number of games in the league, all signs are pointing to a Rotherham United relegation. It’s not just the statistics that are looking rather unfavourable for Rotherham either, when you watch them play, their confidence is low and they just don’t look like a Championship team.
Hertha Berlin Relegation Odds
Although Hertha Berlin is not currently in the drop zone, they are not far off, and the team below them has a game in hand. Compared to our other two predictions, this one has higher odds as it is slightly less likely to happen, but then again, this team is letting in goals left and right, which doesn’t bode well in a league as competitive as the Bundesliga.
Other Premier League Relegation Odds
West Brom – Odds: 4/11
The Baggies are another club to make a much-anticipated return to England’s top division, having finished rock bottom of the 2017/18 campaign with just six victories to their name.
But Slaven Bilic has brought a new lease of life to The Hawthorns, clinching second place and automatic promotion from the Championship last season. They’ve made some exciting signings, but may just fall short in terms of Premier League quality within the squad.
Burnley – Odds: EVS
Much like Palace, Burnley’s survival in the top-flight in recent years has relied heavily on a resilient defensive strategy, with both clubs conceding 50 goals last season. 10th spot was clinched thanks to 15 league wins, more than Arsenal and Sheffield United, and level with high-flying Wolves.
Sean Dyche’s side have had a very quiet transfer window to date, with the boss prioritising keeping Nick Pope and James Tarkowski at Turf Moor over any new recruits. Should they keep their key players fit and happy, Burnley look set to continue their stay in the top-flight.
Newcastle – Odds: 9/2
Off-field issues are seemingly a constant at St James’ Park, but fortunately for supporters there looks to be an improvement on the pitch. They’ve brought in plenty of Premier League experience through the likes of Bournemouth duo Callum Wilson and Ryan Fraser, with Jeff Hendrick and Jamal Lewis also arriving.
But despite those positive signings, and despite finishing 13th last time out, Steve Bruce’s men could still be dragged into another relegation battle. It’s certainly a talented squad, but one that could be in trouble if things don’t go exactly to plan.
Crystal Palace – Odds: 6/1
A miserable end to the season saw the Eagles win just once in their final nine fixtures, with their 31 goals scored the second-lowest in the league. Fortunately, a resolute defence ensured the club finished in 14th place.
The lack of goals may certainly be rectified by recent arrival Erebechi Eze, who could undoubtedly form a deadly partnership with Wilfried Zaha in attack, but only if the latter decides to remain in south London.
Aston Villa – Odds: 20/1
Another club littered with players possessing plenty of ability, but again another who could slide towards the bottom of the table if they aren’t careful. They’ve also strengthened with the additions of Championship stars Matty Cash and Ollie Watkins.
However, just nine wins in the last campaign saw them end with 35 points, only one ahead of relegated Bournemouth and Watford. Moreover, their 67 goals conceded was the second-worst record in the division, so things must change at Villa Park if they are to avoid a similar struggle this time around.
Selected Others
There are, however, a handful of other clubs who could also be hovering nervously in and around the bottom three come the end of the campaign.
Championship winners Leeds are one such side, but many are backing Marcelo Bielsa’s talented squad to have enough in the tank to remain in the competition for the long-term. And despite their astonishing ninth-place finish in 2019/20, Sheffield United are also being mentioned among the potential relegation candidates.
Brighton are another who are dominating much of the relegation talk, having perhaps ridden their luck on one too many occasions in recent years.
And having finished just five points from safety in the last campaign, West Ham are another side being associated with the drop. Despite a hugely talented team on paper, the Hammers can be backed at 12/1 to be relegated from the Premier League this season.
Outright betting in these leagues
Although our relegation predictions have covered three different leagues above, the outright bets you can currently make in these leagues are the same. We’ve covered some of the more popular outright bets right here, and you can find such markets at many of the leading bookies.
Top goalscorer
This is always one of the more popular outright markets as punters love to see goals, and it’s a market that can come right down to the wire as the season-end approaches. For the Premier League, we’d go for Bruno Fernandes. For the Championship, we are going for Ivan Toney – clearly the guy with the best form in the league. And for the Bundesliga, we can’t see anyone else finishing with more goals than Lewandowski!
To win the league
Although the relegation battles are always fascinating to watch, the best action always comes with the teams that are at the top of the table. On that note, Manchester City will most likely win the Premier League. Bayern Munich are hot contenders to win the Bundesliga once again, and we feel Norwich City will win the Championship.
Most assists
Compared to the other two outright markets, it can be much tricker to try and pick a player with the most assists. But with that said, we are going for Kimmich to get the most assists in the Bundesliga, Mbuemo in the Championship, and Kevin de Bruyne for the Premier League.
Other bets you can make for these leagues
If you didn’t want to wager on the relegation battles, and you didn’t fancy going for any of the outright bets either, you still have other options. One of the more common bets to make besides the ones we’ve already mentioned are accumulator bets. By combining as many selections as you like into one long bet slip, the potential payouts can be enormous, but so too are the risks since you must get every prediction correct to win!
Closely tied in with accumulator bets, you can make just regular singles bets too. This is where you try and predict the outcome of a single game, whether it be a win for either team or a draw. And focusing closely on individual games, you can bet on other elements like individual goal scorers, exact score, number of corners, both teams to score, and so many others!
Major bookmakers to bet on these markets
In order to get the best online betting experience that you can, you need to find the best betting sites – it’s that simple. While you can back the markets we’ve mentioned at many different bookmakers in the UK, they don’t all give you the same value. On that note, you need to find bookmakers with the best odds, the most appealing bonuses, and also find those that allow for the most varied betting markets too. These are the factors that will add up to make the very best betting experience, which is why we’ve taken the time to shortlist these bookmakers for you right here:
FAQs relating to these tips
Premier League Relegation Odds
Are these predictions and tips a sure thing?
Sadly, no. But then again, nothing in sport is a sure thing, and if it is, then there is likely some illegal activity taking place – which is something you don’t want to get involved in.
What are the registration requirements at these betting sites?
To open an account with any of the bookies we’ve mentioned here, you must be a resident of the UK and over the age of 18.
How can I fund my online betting account to back these markets?
Easy – you can choose from options like bank transfers, e-wallets, debit cards, Paysafe cards, and many others.
Can I also wager on these tips from my mobile?
Absolutely. In order to make a wager from your mobile, you could download a native app or visit the mobile site that these sites support.
The fight to avoid the drop is arguably as close as it has ever been, with a multitude of clubs possibly being dragged into the relegation dogfight. In fact, there is an argument to be made for all clubs outside of the top six to be staring into the abyss come May 2019.
Whether it is a lack of investment, fan unrest, managerial deficiencies or simply a lack of talent, we look at the potential frontrunners for the 2018/19 Premier League relegation betting.
Premier League match previews, BetShares and the latest odds
Cardiff
Last year was a record eighth promotion for manager Neil Warnock, but to keep this Cardiff team in the league will most likely need his greatest achievement.
Around €30million spent (so far) from the Bluebirds for the upcoming season, mere pennies compared to the might of the Premier League, particularly when looking at the quality within their squad.
Only Callum Paterson reached double digits for goals in the league last season as goals were shared throughout the squad. Bobby Reid is an interesting signing, a player who scored 19 and assisted seven for Brentford last season and offers another attacking outlet, as does Josh Murphy.
Cardiff’s squad is built more on work ethic than quality, which can get you far in a robust league like the Championship, but can the same trick work against better opposition in the Premier League?
The first three games will likely tell us a lot about Cardiff going forward, playing Bournemouth, Newcastle and Huddersfield; teams that they could well be battling against relegation with and the sort of games that they need to take points from to stay in the league.
- Read: How important are the first six games of the season?
In the total season points market, it is tricky to call whether Cardiff will accumulate more than 32.5 points, although it is likely that they should be able to and at 1.588*, that market may interest people.
Huddersfield
One of the favourites for relegation in 2017/18, David Wagner has retained all of his key players from last season, including making some important loans permanent like goalkeeper Jonas Lossl.
Only seven teams kept more clean sheets than the Terriers last season, a sign of David Wagner’s transformation from an attacking team to a defensive one.
A principle trend of clubs that stay in the Premier League is usually a strong home form.
Their major troubles last season came going forward. Huddersfield failed to score in 21 of their 38 matches, including all but six of their away matches. They ended the season with the joint lowest goals total of just 28.
This was less about a lack of firepower in front of goal; both Steven Mounie and Laurent Depoitre scored close to their expected goals total and looked a threat when given chances. Their issue was creating chances, as support for their frontman was lacking.
This is no new issue for Huddersfield; the year before they scored just 56 goals in the Championship and ended on a negative goal difference. This issue has clearly influenced their expected points total at 36.84, the third lowest in the league.
The signings of Ramadan Sobhi and Adama Diakhaby are David Wagner’s answers, but can they offer the support going forward while continuing their defensive responsibilities?
Nevertheless, I expect Huddersfield to be competitive once again and they should get over 34.5 points over the season, which you can get for 1.883*.
Brighton
The Seagulls will be looking to avoid the dreaded second season syndrome after surviving in the Premier League last time out. An impressive feat for Brighton considering they picked up just one point from their opening three matches.
Glen Murray had one of his greatest seasons in the top flight of English soccer, notching 12 goals in the process, goals from elsewhere were few and far between.
Only West Brom, Swansea and Huddersfield scored less than Brighton’s 34 last season. So Chris Hughton looked to the Eredivisie and picked up Alireza Jahanbakhsk, a winger who scored 21 and assisted 12 last season. Impressive numbers, yet will there be a similar output in a more competitive league?
- Read: Which is the most competitive soccer league in Europe?
Jurgen Locadia has also been added to take the creative burden off Pascal Gross, who himself was a revelation last season, scoring seven, assisting eight and created more chances than any player outside of the top six sides. Hughton will be hoping that his signings will add to an attack that only scored more than one goal on eight occasions.
Overall Brighton have kept the core that stood strong for the most of last season, however, they will need a similar output from their creative players to stand any sort of chance. Whether the likes of Glen Murray can lead the line for yet another full season at this level remains to be seen.
Brighton to win more than 38.5 points this season is currently priced at 1.909*.
Southampton
Selling prized assets without replacing them almost caught up with Southampton last season. Sadio Mane, Adam Lallana, Graziano Pelle, Nathaniel Clyne, Victor Wanyama, are some of their core players the Saints have lost over the last few seasons without finding sustainable cover.
Virgil Van Dijk was the recent big name to leave St. Marys, leaving for Liverpool in January, and the defence never recovered (they conceded 1.45 goals per game with Van Dijk and 1.50 with him) as they conceded 56 goals in the league, as many as relegated West Brom and Swansea.
Mark Hughes has invested in Borussia Munchengladbach centre back Jannick Vestergaard, who could steady the ship somewhat, but this is only one hole that needs to be filled.
Relegation Odds Premier League 2018 1970
Just four wins at St Mary's last season was the second worst home record in the league, culminating in just 20 goals in 24 matches. A principle trend of clubs that stay in the Premier League is usually a strong home form, so this will need to be resolved come the start of the season.
Charlie Austin is a great man to have in your front line; the Englishman has scored 13 goals in 21 appearances across the last two seasons. The issue is his injury history. He has started just 21 of Southampton’s 76 games across the last two seasons. If injury strikes again, then the source of goals could also be an issue.
Whether the Saints have learnt their lessons is difficult to decide, particularly as the two seasons before Southampton finished in the top half of the table. If their defensive frailties, in particular at home, are on show once again, then lucky escapes seldom happen twice.
Southampton are priced at 1.751* to win under 45.5 points this season.
Bournemouth
The job that Eddie Howe has done at Bournemouth cannot be understated. A young side in a club not able to compete with some of the might in the Premier League cementing themselves in 12th position and another season in the top flight. It was a major turnaround seeing as they won just one of their first eight games last season.
Whilst goals were an issue for Huddersfield, it was keeping them out that scuppered Bournemouth’s push for a top-half finish. Last season Bournemouth kept just six clean sheets; the joint fewest in the division. If there are similar issues this season alongside a drop in form in front of goal, then suddenly Bournemouth could be dragged into a relegation fight.
Their expected goals against looks no better. Only relegated Stoke City (65.54) had a bigger expected goals against total than Bournemouth (64.39), and their expected points total of 37.64 would have seen them finish 17th and just avoiding the drop.
With the likes of Fulham and Wolves coming into the league with a growing budget, how long can Eddie Howe continue to defy expectations and keep them away from the drop zone?
Bournemouth are priced at 1.555* to win under 42.5 points this season and could be the smart bet in the Total season points market.
Fulham
If you told the Fulham faithful they would be staring at a season in the Premier League last November, they would have probably called you crazy. Bottom third of the Championship and winless in five, they were looking over their shoulder rather than looking towards a playoff spot.
A 23 match unbeaten run that ended on the last day of the season did just that, making the Premier League via a 1-0 win over Aston Villa in the Championship playoff final.
There is an argument to be made for all clubs outside of the top six to be staring into the abyss come May 2019.
A four-year absence from the top flight will end this season, and whilst most have the simple ambition of just staying in the league when initially returning, there is a feeling that, like returning counterparts Wolves, their ambitions are slightly loftier.
Keeping important stars in Tom Cairney and Ryan Sessegnon in the summer was critical for Slavisa Jokanovic, despite interest from some of the Premier League’s top clubs. If they can replicate their form that saw both make the PFA Championship Team of the Year then the season could well be a successful one.
The signings in the offseason have also been promising. Aleksander Mitrovic’s loan spell last season was crucial in their push for promotion, scoring 12 goals in 18 appearances. Alfie Mawson is a centre back that over the past years has had attraction from some of the Premier League’s finest andJean Michel Seri was a surprise signing after the midfielder attracted interest from both Chelsea and Barcelona.
Their possession-based soccer (57% possession across the season, no team had more) may be redesigned in a league with more quality and will likely see less of the ball, so whether they can mould that system or better yet, keep their possession and shot numbers (averaged 14 shots per games last season) up could be the deciding factors. Their expected points across the season was an incredible 15.3 lower than their final points total, so these numbers may not be sustainable as first thought.
It does look as though the Cottagers should have enough quality to see them through this season, but with young starlets, it will be interesting to see if Fulham can keep hold of them for much longer. Fulham gaining more than 35.5 points at 1.469* could be the smart bet.
Other notable contenders
As explained, there is certainly an argument to be made for so many competing in the Premier League this season.
Burnley could surprise a few and struggle, having to focus on the Europa League and outdoing their expected points total last season by 13. If Burnley go far in their first European outing, then Sean Dyche may be forced to shuffle his team in the league as fatigue sets in.
Newcastle have a manager at the helm who has proven he is amongst the best in the league. However, if they lose Benitez, which is potentially possible after sounds of unrest behind the scenes, then the scene could get ugly at St. James Park.Relegation Odds Premier League 2018 1990
Throughout the Premier League season, you can find value in corners betting, betting on cards or use an expected goals model to inform your betting.